Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.101763 0.117498 0.134861 0.155444 0.179184 0.205714 0.237624
2026-02-01 0.073607 0.093811 0.118378 0.150461 0.191285 0.241548 0.308226
2026-02-08 0.061003 0.083305 0.112326 0.152883 0.208166 0.281012 0.384524
2026-02-15 0.051890 0.074956 0.106677 0.153521 0.221059 0.315119 0.456487
2026-02-22 0.045538 0.069056 0.102979 0.155528 0.235061 0.351264 0.534614
2026-03-01 0.039250 0.062160 0.096643 0.152390 0.240504 0.374875 0.596317
2026-03-08 0.034359 0.056611 0.091430 0.149956 0.246202 0.398828 0.660553
2026-03-15 0.031137 0.053217 0.089035 0.151454 0.257945 0.433051 0.744615
2026-03-22 0.029435 0.052067 0.090040 0.158497 0.279381 0.485036 0.863851
2026-03-29 0.027507 0.050257 0.089660 0.163000 0.296781 0.531791 0.979052
2026-04-05 0.025675 0.048370 0.088880 0.166600 0.312804 0.577573 1.097338
2026-04-12 0.023764 0.046098 0.087122 0.168130 0.325059 0.617608 1.209142
2026-04-19 0.021544 0.043023 0.083618 0.166114 0.330662 0.646391 1.303874
2026-04-26 0.019181 0.039398 0.078681 0.160769 0.329211 0.661597 1.373861
2026-05-03 0.017978 0.037948 0.077802 0.163357 0.343797 0.709640 1.515610
2026-05-10 0.016703 0.036194 0.076106 0.164039 0.354458 0.750742 1.647386
2026-05-17 0.015698 0.034888 0.075173 0.166184 0.368365 0.799879 1.801759
2026-05-24 0.014307 0.032582 0.071879 0.162830 0.369917 0.822791 1.900788
2026-05-31 0.013123 0.030602 0.069073 0.160229 0.372808 0.848815 2.009645
2026-06-07 0.012375 0.029534 0.068166 0.161830 0.385420 0.897775 2.177145
2026-06-14 0.012109 0.029561 0.069736 0.169357 0.412670 0.982979 2.440467
2026-06-21 0.011665 0.029112 0.070153 0.174171 0.433941 1.056376 2.683381
2026-06-28 0.011186 0.028524 0.070176 0.178018 0.453255 1.127065 2.927594